The United States government's addition of $275 billion in debt in just 24 hours has raised concerns about the country's ability to pay for essential services and outstanding bills with foreign entities. This staggering amount of debt surpasses half of Bitcoin's entire market capitalization, which currently stands at $535 billion. It also translates to approximately $1,300 per American per day. These numbers, according to macro analyst Lyn Alden, haven't been seen in nearly 80 years, and most developed countries face public debt levels relative to GDP that haven't been seen since the 1940s.
The exponential increase in debt that we are witnessing is not surprising, according to Jeff Booth, the author of "The Price of Tomorrow." He believes that the global financial system is already insolvent and that we should be experiencing an exponential increase in productivity and wealth due to advancements in technology, such as AI. However, the opposite is happening, largely due to a debt-riddled system that allows for manipulation.
For the past few decades, rising debt levels have been offset by falling interest rates, which have kept public interest expenses in check. But Alden suggests that we may be facing a late-stage debt bubble, as the structural decline in interest rates may not be sustainable. This recent surge in U.S. debt only adds to concerns about the country's ability to meet its financial obligations.
In light of these circumstances, Alden sees potential in Bitcoin. She explains that Bitcoin's price is highly correlated with global liquidity, and when broad money supply denominated in dollars rises, Bitcoin tends to perform well. While she believes that global liquidity has an unclear direction over the next few months, she predicts that in 2024 or 2025, when the Federal Reserve is no longer able to reduce its balance sheet, there could be another increase in global liquidity, leading to a rise in the price of Bitcoin.
Jeff Booth agrees with Alden's assessment and sees Bitcoin as a bridge to the other side. He believes that if we don't add global liquidity, everything could collapse. He refrains from using the U.S. dollar as a pricing instrument against Bitcoin, as he believes it would mean pricing everything through manipulation.
Alden also points out two other factors that could fuel the rise in Bitcoin's price: the bear market and the upcoming Bitcoin halving. The bear market has pushed coins out of fast money liquid hands into illiquid holders, while the halving has tightened the supply side of Bitcoin. Alden sees the current period as a good time for accumulation and patience.
In conclusion, the United States' significant increase in debt raises concerns about the country's financial stability and ability to meet its obligations. This situation plays in Bitcoin's favor, as investors may turn to the cryptocurrency as a hedge against the uncertain future of global liquidity. While the next few months may be unclear, analysts like Lyn Alden and Jeff Booth see potential for Bitcoin's price to rise in the coming years.
Comments
Post a Comment