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Produced by Daniel Aharonoff & Mogul Media AI

Bitcoin's All-Time High: Adjusting for Inflation

Bitcoin's All-Time High: A Perspective on Inflation Adjustments As Bitcoin inches closer to its all-time high, the cryptocurrency landscape is buzzing with discussions about whether its previous peak should be adjusted for inflation. With the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation calculator suggesting a revised target of approximately $75,000, the debate intensifies. This adjustment isn't merely academic; it reflects the evolving role of Bitcoin in the financial ecosystem, especially as it vies for status as a serious inflation hedge. Understanding the All-Time High Previous Peak : Bitcoin reached an all-time high of nearly $69,000 in November 2021. Inflation Adjustment : Adjusting for inflation brings the real target closer to $75,000, emphasizing the need to consider economic conditions over time. Bitcoin as an Inflation Hedge Despite the volatility associated with Bitcoin, it continues to be regarded as a potential safeguard a
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Produced by Daniel Aharonoff & Mogul Media AI

Unveiling the Crypto Betting Frenzy: Will the SEC Approve a Spot Bitcoin ETF?

Crypto analysts are buzzing with anticipation as the possibility of a spot Bitcoin exchange traded fund (ETF) gaining approval this week looms large. Correspondence between the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and hopeful ETF operators has intensified, fueling speculations in the crypto market. Notably, Polymarket, a prediction market that accepts cryptocurrency payments, has seen a significant influx of bets, with over $6.7 million wagered on the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF by January 15. The collective sentiment among Polymarket users reflects an 85% probability of the SEC greenlighting any spot Bitcoin ETF by the aforementioned date, making it the largest prediction pool on the platform.

Unprecedented Betting Activity

  • Polymarket has recorded over $6.7 million in bets on the approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF
  • Users collectively predict an 85% chance of SEC approval by January 15
  • Prediction pool on Republican presidential nominee for 2024 has $5.9 million in wagers

Decade-Long Efforts for Approval

  • Companies have been striving for a spot Bitcoin ETF approval in the US for over ten years
  • SEC's concerns about potential scams and market manipulation have hindered previous approval attempts
  • An ETF would offer investors exposure to Bitcoin without the need to own and secure the actual cryptocurrency

Bitcoin's Market Performance

  • Bitcoin has witnessed a 168% surge in value over the past year, currently priced above $46,000
  • Despite a drop from its 2021 peak above $69,000, Bitcoin has shown significant recovery post-FTX collapse in 2022
  • Recent fake news about SEC approval led to a price spike and subsequent plunge, highlighting market volatility

The recent developments surrounding the potential approval of a spot Bitcoin ETF underscore the growing interest and optimism in the crypto market. With significant sums wagered on the outcome, the decision by the SEC is poised to have a substantial impact on both investors and the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

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