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Bitcoin's All-Time High: Adjusting for Inflation

Bitcoin's All-Time High: A Perspective on Inflation Adjustments As Bitcoin inches closer to its all-time high, the cryptocurrency landscape is buzzing with discussions about whether its previous peak should be adjusted for inflation. With the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics' Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation calculator suggesting a revised target of approximately $75,000, the debate intensifies. This adjustment isn't merely academic; it reflects the evolving role of Bitcoin in the financial ecosystem, especially as it vies for status as a serious inflation hedge. Understanding the All-Time High Previous Peak : Bitcoin reached an all-time high of nearly $69,000 in November 2021. Inflation Adjustment : Adjusting for inflation brings the real target closer to $75,000, emphasizing the need to consider economic conditions over time. Bitcoin as an Inflation Hedge Despite the volatility associated with Bitcoin, it continues to be regarded as a potential safeguard a

Exploring Bitcoin Stability Amid U.S. GDP Growth and Crypto Futures Expiry

Bitcoin remains steady as the U.S. reports a 3.3% growth in its gross domestic product during the fourth quarter, surpassing economists' expectations of 2% growth. However, the Bureau of Economic Analysis highlighted that the growth rate had slowed down from the 4.9% seen in the third quarter of last year. The recent growth indicates that the economy is closely aligning with the 3.4% inflation rate observed in December, where inflation refers to the rate at which prices rise for goods and services. High inflation rates can potentially impact consumers' purchasing power, making their money less effective. The BEA's report on Thursday attributed the growth in Q4 to robust consumer and government spending.

Bitcoin Trading and Market Overview

  • Bitcoin is currently trading at $39,817, having recently crossed the $40,000 threshold earlier yesterday.
  • The cryptocurrency saw close to $30 billion in trading volume based on CoinGecko data.
  • As the U.S. GDP report shows positive growth, the market faces the potential expiration of billions in crypto futures, key for predicting future price movements of assets like commodities, currencies, or cryptocurrencies.

Crypto Futures Expiry and Market Outlook

  • The upcoming expiry of around $3.7 billion BTC options notional open interest, with a max pain level at $41,000, is significant.
  • For ETH, approximately $2 billion in options notional open interest with a max pain level of $2,300 is at stake.
  • Despite the impending expiries, indications suggest that many traders are extending their positions rather than allowing contracts to expire, particularly in the January and February expiries.
  • This follows a bustling January that saw the approval of 11 different spot Bitcoin ETFs, reflecting a dynamic market landscape.

Amidst these market dynamics and economic indicators, the cryptocurrency space continues to demonstrate resilience and adaptability in the face of evolving financial landscapes.

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